In response to the COVID-19 epidemic, the University of Minnesota School of Public Health and Minnesota Department of Health (MDH) joined forces in mid-March, 2020, to build a mathematical model to predict the potential impact of COVID-19 in Minnesota.
The model is based on currently available evidence on the epidemic. The R code underlying the latest version (v. 3.0) was released publicly on May 13, 2020. Access to the code is provided below.
Important Code Information
- The provided R code is pre-programmed to run scenarios 1-4 in version 3.0 of the Minnesota COVID-19 model
- To generate ICU demand outcomes as reported in our results, run scenario code with unconstrained ICU capacity.
- To generate all other outcomes, run scenario code with default ICU capacity constraints.
- Provided code can also be used to generate plots of outcomes over time (ICU demand, prevalent infections, cumulative deaths, etc.). Model parameters are set to base case values by default.
- Using the code assumes basic knowledge of R and use of mathematical models. Technical support, over and above the existing documentation and FAQs (refer to links under “Resources”), is unavailable.
- Model outcomes of scenarios 1-4 (PDF): Minnesota COVID-19 Model, version 3.0
- Technical documentation (MDH): Minnesota COVID-19 Model, version 3.0
- FAQs (MDH): Minnesota COVID-19 Model, version 3.0
More from the School of Public Health
- “Modeling COVID-19 for Minnesota” feature story
- Health in All Matters podcast, Episode 3: “Why Models Matter”